The Future of Money: Digital Currencies and Their Global Impact

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19 Aug 2024

8 Min Read

Dr Kelvin Lee Yong Ming (Academic Contributor), The Taylor's Team (Editor)

IN THIS ARTICLE

In an era where digital innovation is reshaping every facet of our lives, the concept of money is no exception. With the advent of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), the financial landscape stands on the brink of a profound transformation. CBDCs, digital forms of a country's sovereign currency, are emerging as a pivotal force that could redefine the global financial system. As countries across the globe race to develop and implement these digital currencies, the potential benefits and challenges they bring are becoming increasingly apparent.

 

The rise of CBDCs promises to revolutionise monetary policy, enhance financial inclusion, and streamline cross-border transactions. However, this shift also poses significant questions about regulatory frameworks, security, and the future role of traditional banking institutions. As we delve into the world of CBDCs, we will explore their transformative potential, examining how they can reshape global financial systems, influence regulatory landscapes, and drive financial inclusion for millions.

History of Currency

The concept of money has undergone significant transformations over the millennia. In ancient times, societies relied on barter systems, where goods and services were exchanged directly. The limitations of barter led to the use of commodity money, such as grains, livestock, and eventually precious metals like gold and silver, which had intrinsic value and were widely accepted.

 

The invention of coinage around 600 BCE in Lydia (modern-day Turkey) marked a pivotal moment in monetary history, as it provided a standardised medium of exchange. This was followed by the introduction of paper money in China during the Tang Dynasty (618-907 CE) as promissory notes, allowing merchants to deposit their coins with a trustworthy agent who would issue a paper certificate that could be redeemed elsewhere, facilitating transactions without the need to carry heavy coins.

A modern reproduction of a (Southern) Song Dynasty era Guanzi banknote, issued under the reign of the (Southern) Song Dynasty.

Image of a modern reproduction of a (Southern) Song Dynasty era Guanzi banknote, issued under the reign of the (Southern) Song Dynasty, Public Domain.

The significant development and widespread use of paper money as a government-issued currency occurred during the Song Dynasty (960-1279 CE). The Song government began to standardise and issue paper money in the early 11th century. The earliest government-issued paper currency was known as 'jiaozi', and later, during the Southern Song period, another type called 'huizi' was introduced. These innovations made the Song Dynasty the first in history to use government-backed paper money on a large scale, which eventually replaced the earlier promissory notes, became a cornerstone of the economy, and spread to become the dominant form of currency.

 

The 20th century saw the rise of fiat currencies, where the value of money is not backed by physical commodities but by the government that issues it. This shift allowed for greater flexibility in monetary policy but also introduced new challenges in maintaining trust and stability.

 

The advent of the digital age has brought another seismic shift in the form of digital currencies. The late 2000s witnessed the emergence of cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin being the first and most well-known example. Created in 2009 by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin introduced the concept of a decentralised, peer-to-peer digital currency that operates independently of central banks and governments.

A selection of different cryptocurrency coins piled together over US dollar banknotes

The rapid proliferation of cryptocurrencies highlighted both the potential and the risks of digital money, prompting central banks to explore their own digital currency solutions. The rise of digital payments, the decline in cash usage, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on financial behaviours, and the need to stay competitive in a rapidly evolving financial landscape have driven central banks to consider CBDCs as a natural progression in the evolution of money.

Asian Chinese female customer with facemask

Understanding Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)

Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are digital forms of a country's sovereign currency, issued and regulated by the nation's central bank. Unlike decentralised cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, CBDCs are centralised and backed by the full faith and credit of the issuing government. This centralisation ensures that CBDCs maintain a stable value, much like traditional fiat currencies. CBDCs can be designed for various purposes, including retail use by the general public or wholesale use by financial institutions for large-scale transactions.

 

 

Types of CBDCs
 

CBDCs can be broadly categorised into two types: wholesale and retail. Wholesale CBDCs are designed for use by financial institutions and intermediaries, facilitating large-scale, interbank transactions and enhancing the efficiency of payment systems. Retail CBDCs, on the other hand, are intended for use by the general public, enabling everyday transactions such as purchasing goods and services. Both types of CBDCs have distinct advantages and challenges, and many central banks are exploring hybrid models that combine elements of both wholesale and retail CBDCs.

 

 

Global Adoption
 

Several countries are at the forefront of developing and piloting CBDCs. China’s digital yuan, also known as the Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP), is one of the most advanced projects, with extensive pilot programmes already underway. Sweden’s e-krona and the Bahamas’ Sand Dollar, Jamaica's JAM-DEX, and Nigeria's eNaira are notable examples of retail CBDCs in various stages of development and implementation. These pioneering efforts are setting the stage for broader global adoption, as other nations closely observe and learn from their experiences.

Screenshot taken from Atlantic Council CBDC Tracker

Screenshot taken from Atlantic Council CBDC Tracker

Motivations
 

Central banks are driven by multiple motivations to explore and implement CBDCs. Key among these is the desire to improve transaction efficiency and reduce the costs associated with cash handling and cross-border payments. CBDCs also offer the potential to enhance financial stability by providing central banks with more direct tools for monetary policy implementation. Additionally, the rise of private digital currencies and the decline of cash usage have spurred central banks to innovate and remain relevant in an increasingly digital economy.

Dr Kelvin Lee Yong Ming

 

International coordination of CBDCs is crucial to prevent global financial fragmentation and ensure cross-border consistency. Global institutions like the IMF and BIS should lead in setting standards, harmonising regulations, and guiding nations on cybersecurity and banking impacts. Their role is vital for maintaining financial stability and promoting an integrated global system.

 

Dr Kelvin Lee Yong Ming

Taylor's Business School

How CBDCs Transform Global Financial Systems

Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) have the potential to significantly impact monetary policy and financial stability. By offering a new tool for central banks, CBDCs can enable more precise and direct implementation of monetary policy. Unlike traditional monetary instruments, which often rely on indirect mechanisms such as interest rate adjustments and reserve requirements, CBDCs can provide central banks with more immediate control over the money supply. This direct control could be particularly useful in times of economic crisis, allowing for rapid deployment of stimulus measures or tightening of monetary policy as needed​.

Central Bank of Malaysia building in Kuala Lumpur

Moreover, CBDCs can help mitigate risks associated with the shadow banking sector by reducing the reliance on private digital currencies and unregulated financial services. By providing a stable and secure digital currency option, central banks can enhance financial stability and reduce systemic risks. However, the introduction of CBDCs also raises concerns about the potential for disintermediation in the banking sector, as individuals and businesses might prefer holding CBDCs directly rather than depositing funds in commercial banks.

Disintermediation in Banking (noun)

 

Imagine that banks are like middlemen. They take your deposits and lend that money to others, making a profit from the interest difference. Disintermediation happens when people and companies decide they don’t need these middlemen anymore. Think of a farmer's market. Traditionally, you might go to a grocery store (the bank) to buy apples. Disintermediation is like going directly to the farmer's market and buying apples straight from the farmer. The grocery store (bank) is skipped in the process.

Cross-Border Transactions
 

One of the most promising applications of CBDCs is in the realm of cross-border transactions. Traditional cross-border payments are often slow, expensive, and subject to various intermediaries. CBDCs can streamline this process by enabling faster, cheaper, and more transparent cross-border payments. By leveraging blockchain and distributed ledger technology, CBDCs can facilitate real-time settlement of transactions, reducing the need for intermediaries and lowering transaction costs.

Container Cargo freight ship with working crane bridge in shipyard in singapore

Additionally, CBDCs can enhance the efficiency of remittances, which are a vital source of income for many developing countries. By providing a more efficient and cost-effective means of transferring money across borders, CBDCs can support financial inclusion and economic development. Several countries and international organisations are already exploring the potential of CBDCs for cross-border payments, with initiatives such as the Multiple CBDC (mCBDC) Bridge project by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and various central banks leading the way​.

Future Prospects and Challenges

CBDCs open up a plethora of innovative opportunities. One such opportunity is the concept of programmable money. Unlike traditional currencies, CBDCs can be programmed with specific features, such as automatic tax deductions, conditional transfers, and expiration dates. This can streamline various financial processes and introduce new use cases for digital money. For example, governments can issue stimulus payments that are programmed to be spent within a certain period, ensuring timely economic support​​.

 

Moreover, CBDCs can facilitate the implementation of smart contracts. These are self-executing contracts with the terms directly written into code, enabling automated and trustless transactions. This can significantly enhance the efficiency and transparency of contractual agreements, reducing the need for intermediaries and lowering transaction costs.

 

 

Risks and Concerns
 

Despite the numerous benefits, the implementation of CBDCs is not without risks and concerns. One major concern is cybersecurity. As digital currencies, CBDCs are vulnerable to hacking and cyberattacks. Ensuring robust cybersecurity measures is crucial to protect against potential threats and maintain trust in the digital currency system.

 

Another concern is the potential impact on financial stability. The shift towards CBDCs could lead to a rapid outflow of deposits from commercial banks to central banks, especially in times of financial uncertainty. This could strain the banking sector and necessitate new frameworks for managing liquidity and financial stability.

Stock Market Data, Stock Market and Exchange

Privacy is also a critical issue. While CBDCs can enhance transaction transparency, this transparency must be balanced with the need to protect individual privacy. Central banks and policymakers must ensure that CBDCs are designed with privacy-preserving features to prevent misuse of personal financial data​.

Conclusion

The future of money is digital, and CBDCs represent a pivotal step in this evolution. With careful planning, robust regulatory oversight, and a commitment to safeguarding privacy and security, CBDCs can unlock new opportunities for economic growth and financial inclusion. The journey ahead will require collaboration, innovation, and vigilance, but the potential rewards make it a journey worth undertaking. As we stand on the brink of this financial transformation, the vision of a more efficient, inclusive, and resilient global financial system is within our reach.

Curious about how Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) will transform banking, finance, and fintech? Explore these exciting changes and discover how our Banking & Finance, Finance & Economics and Fintech programmes can prepare you to thrive in this digital revolution. Book an appointment with our education counsellor today to learn more.

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